Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.059208 0.067129 0.075320 0.084393 0.094131 0.104241 0.115503
2025-03-30 0.047373 0.059180 0.072101 0.087149 0.104054 0.122330 0.143454
2025-04-06 0.040187 0.054492 0.070891 0.090746 0.113815 0.139480 0.169902
2025-04-13 0.033112 0.048635 0.067231 0.090552 0.118454 0.150252 0.188730
2025-04-20 0.030530 0.047707 0.068979 0.096346 0.129770 0.168496 0.216010
2025-04-27 0.025241 0.042596 0.064970 0.094626 0.131702 0.175457 0.229955
2025-05-04 0.022733 0.040829 0.064914 0.097572 0.139117 0.188805 0.251365
2025-05-11 0.019332 0.037377 0.062292 0.096947 0.141876 0.196386 0.265802
2025-05-18 0.017536 0.036025 0.062319 0.099623 0.148690 0.208861 0.286137
2025-05-25 0.015765 0.034485 0.061913 0.101594 0.154521 0.220089 0.304969
2025-06-01 0.013033 0.031055 0.058531 0.099291 0.154619 0.224035 0.314775
2025-06-08 0.010705 0.027953 0.055353 0.097032 0.154584 0.227671 0.324095
2025-06-15 0.009881 0.027504 0.056295 0.100820 0.162987 0.242547 0.348125
2025-06-22 0.008785 0.026427 0.056218 0.103173 0.169560 0.255260 0.369724
2025-06-29 0.008098 0.026032 0.057166 0.107005 0.178179 0.270693 0.394885
2025-07-06 0.006757 0.024079 0.055426 0.106752 0.181114 0.278714 0.410675
2025-07-13 0.006672 0.024790 0.058118 0.113168 0.193362 0.299004 0.442220
2025-07-20 0.005325 0.022421 0.055410 0.111260 0.193873 0.303807 0.453939
2025-07-27 0.004862 0.022036 0.056085 0.114523 0.201679 0.318291 0.478165
2025-08-03 0.003962 0.020343 0.054292 0.113831 0.203786 0.325154 0.492551
2025-08-10 0.003584 0.019951 0.054825 0.116793 0.211144 0.339079 0.516156
2025-08-17 0.003165 0.019340 0.054890 0.118973 0.217362 0.351482 0.537823
2025-08-24 0.002381 0.017348 0.052134 0.116426 0.216556 0.354288 0.546863